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Peak Oil : Mitigation

 
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admin
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PostPosted: Thu Nov 24, 2005 2:30 pm    Post subject: Peak Oil : Mitigation Reply with quote

Again, some open source editing would be appreciated for this approximately 500 word leaflet text. If you have comments or suggestions, please go ahead!


With the supply of oil decreasing year-on-year in the future, most people throughout the world will have to change the way that they live their lives. The extent of adaptation required will be proportional to the intensity of current use, with those in OECD economies having much more change to accommodate than those in developing countries. Mitigation pressure will come from two directions: voluntary and enforced. It will work at a variety of levels from personal to community and national to international.

The Peak Oil community has already suggested various means of controlled descent. These include The Uppsala or Rimini Protocols and Tradable Energy Quotas (formerly known as Domestic Trade Quotas). These ideas for the slow contraction of oil supply rely primarily on international agreements between governments and amount to rationing. Given the current economic paradigm of continual growth they are unlikely to be instigated in sufficient time to be of any use. The onus therefore falls on the individual and communities to take appropriate steps to avoid hardship and dislocation in the future.

The easiest choice to make will be to do nothing and react as economic conditions change, prices rise and certain goods become scarce or completely unavailable. No-one knows exactly how or how soon these changes will occur but the rise in the price of oil from $20 per barrel to $60 in the past couple of years is already giving pointers to what lies ahead; airlines are introducing fuel surcharges, new car buyers are switching to models with lower fuel consumption and companies are seeing profits squeezed and laying off employees.

You can mitigate the effects of the end of cheap oil on you and your family by undertaking a thorough review of how you live your life. How much do you spend on petrol or diesel each year? Is the industry you work in reliant on oil for inputs or for transporting finished goods. What proportion of your clients? or customers? business is dependant on oil or products made from oil. How do you travel to your job and how often do you visit friends or relatives by car or plane? What type of food do you eat; fresh local produce or pre-prepared, highly packaged food. Are you aware of what food is in season at any given time? If you are starting a family, think carefully about how many children you will be able to afford. If you or your children are making career decisions, consider what future that chosen industry has. Are you thinking about moving house? Will your choice make it easier or cheaper to take your children to school, get to work or will you be able to use public transport. Do you need such a large one? How well is that house insulated and does it have oil-fired heating?

There is no need to panic. Many of the changes you decide to make will likely save you money in the short term. Make sure your decisions are considered and have the agreement of your partner. Make small changes first and take a few months to assess your options.


http://www.hubbertpeak.com/Uppsala/

http://www.teqs.net/


Last edited by admin on Mon Feb 20, 2006 1:03 pm; edited 1 time in total
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newmac
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Joined: 24 Nov 2005
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Location: Kennington, London

PostPosted: Thu Nov 24, 2005 2:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Like it a lot. Only add is that whilst the extent of adaptation required will be proportional to intensity of current use, it will still be the poor who will be hit the worst.

They may not lose as much as those at the top, but when you have virtually nothing the little you do lose will have a bigger effect.

I think we need to get this across somehow.
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