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Peak Oil : Healthcare

 
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PowerSwitchJames



Joined: 24 Nov 2005
Posts: 929
Location: London

PostPosted: Thu Nov 24, 2005 6:04 pm    Post subject: Peak Oil : Healthcare Reply with quote

Another leaflet for open source editing Smile
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During a recession there are fewer jobs in the market place and lower profits for corporations. This means there is less money going to the government in the form of taxation. The aim at the moment is to spend ?90 billion per year by 2007/2008.

As the cost of energy increases, and along with it everything from electronic equipment to plastic syringes, the NHS will require more and more money in order to provide a static level of service. To provide an improved service the added investment required will become astronomical.

It is likely that we will see many hospital closures over the coming years as the cost of providing universal healthcare escalates. It may be that we see an end to the ?free at the point of delivery? philosophy which was fundamental to the formation of the NHS. Private healthcare will also suffer due to higher costs and taxes and health insurance companies will be more reluctant to pay out thus delaying some treatments. All of this will be happening at a time of higher rates of Alcohol and Drug abuse which carry other risks like disease and violence.

We may see a move to more home based healthcare, with programs like the NHS direct hotline becoming more popular. General hygiene will be extremely important as prevention of illness will be far more desirable than cure or treatment. Fitness regimes and good dietary knowledge are going to be very important in the coming years.

Can you imagine what will happen to the plastic surgery industry? Healthcare will once again be dictated by need, although the very wealthy will still be able to afford the more frivolous treatments, at least in the short term.

Alternative therapies will become more popular, not just because of fashion, but out of necessity, treatments such as herbal remedies, traditional cold cures and acupuncture will become more ordinary. Looking after our health will be about drawing on as many resources as are in our local area. Plant extracts will be used where drugs from a bottle are either very expensive or in short supply.

Perhaps of greater concern are treatments like kidney dialysis or tumour scans. Cancer or HIV treatment could become a luxury few can afford. These types of care require significant amounts of energy and expertise.

None of this is going to happen over night, but the general trend will be in this direction. You can use this knowledge to prepare yourself for a lower energy life.

The message here is to start thinking about your health, ensure you and those around you have a high standard of hygiene, take regular exercise, plenty of fresh air and eat plenty of fresh fruit and vegetables.
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DamianB
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Joined: 24 Nov 2005
Posts: 553
Location: Dorset

PostPosted: Mon Dec 05, 2005 2:27 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak Oil : Healthcare Reply with quote

During a recession there are fewer jobs in the market place and lower profits for corporations. This means there is less money going to the government in the form of taxation. The aim at the moment is to spend ?90 billion per year by 2007/2008. [On healthcare?]

As the cost of energy increases and along with it everything from electronic equipment to plastic syringes, the NHS will require more and more money in order to provide a static level of service. To provide an improved service the added investment required will become astronomical.

It is likely that we will see many hospital closures over the coming years as the cost of providing universal healthcare escalates. It may be that we see an end to the ?free at the point of delivery? philosophy which was fundamental to the formation of the NHS. Private healthcare will also suffer due to higher costs and taxes and health insurance companies will be more reluctant to pay out, thus delaying some treatments. All of this will be happening at a time of higher rates of alcohol and drug abuse which carry other risks like disease and violence.

We are likely to see a move to more home-based healthcare, with programs like the NHS direct hotline becoming more popular. General hygiene will be extremely important as prevention of illness will be far more desirable than cure or treatment. Fitness regimes and good dietary knowledge are going to be very important in the coming years.

Can you imagine what will happen to the plastic surgery industry? Healthcare will once again be dictated by need, although the very wealthy will still be able to afford the more frivolous treatments, at least in the short term.

Alternative therapies will become more popular, not just because of fashion, but out of necessity, treatments such as herbal remedies, traditional cold cures and acupuncture will become more ordinary. Looking after our health will be about drawing on as many resources as are in our local area. Plant extracts will be used where drugs from a bottle are either very expensive or in short supply.

Perhaps of greater concern are treatments like kidney dialysis or tumour scans. Cancer or HIV treatment could become a luxury few can afford. These types of care require significant amounts of energy and expertise.

None of this is going to happen over night, but the general trend will be in this direction. You can use this knowledge to prepare yourself for a lower energy life.

The message here is to start thinking about your health, ensure you and those around you have a high standard of hygiene, take regular exercise, plenty of fresh air and eat plenty of fresh fruit and vegetables.
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Bandidoz
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Joined: 24 Nov 2005
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Location: Berks

PostPosted: Tue Dec 06, 2005 2:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

More cases of malnutrition placing demands on the Health Service?
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skeptik



Joined: 24 Nov 2005
Posts: 2969
Location: Costa Geriatrica, Spain

PostPosted: Tue Dec 06, 2005 12:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bandidoz wrote:
More cases of malnutrition placing demands on the Health Service?


I would think fewer. Back to basics. If disposable income is generally reduced less will be spent on expensive crap at places like McDonalds, Burger King, KFC.

During the last period of severe national belt tightening, WW2 and the decade that followed, the nations health as regards dietary and dental diseases was never better.

Sugar, protein and saturated fats were in short supply and the nation was engaged in a government sponsored 'dig for victory' campaign - anybody who owned or had access to a even a small plot of land was growing vegetables on it, largely organically using composted waste.

My grandparents, living in a London borough (1920's terraced housing) turned over their entire back garden to vegetables and also kept a few chickens for fresh eggs. (My grandmother refused to dig up the roses in the very small front garden!)

There was a nationally specified , vitamin re-enforced 'national loaf' of bread. Rose hips were collected by school children in rural areas under a national scheme to produce viatamin C rich 'rose hip syrup'

A moderate ammount of austerity, rather than outright dire poverty, would I think be a good thing for a nation becoming ever more obese on junk food.

Eventually all rationing ended, cheap sweets became available, and caries again became rampant in the nations children until fluoridised toothpaste was introduced.

An emergency need not be all bad. It can be an opportunity and catalyst for change.
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extractorfan



Joined: 24 Nov 2005
Posts: 988
Location: Ricky

PostPosted: Tue Dec 06, 2005 1:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
During the last period of severe national belt tightening, WW2 and the decade that followed, the nations health as regards dietary and dental diseases was never better.


True

Quote:
A moderate ammount of austerity, rather than outright dire poverty, would I think be a good thing for a nation becoming ever more obese on junk food.


yes again. I worry about druggies not getting their fix though (including alcoholics) it will affect the work place, NHS, local communities.

Once that situation is stabalized then things will be better on the health front, I think Question
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peaky



Joined: 24 Nov 2005
Posts: 332
Location: Brighton, UK

PostPosted: Fri Dec 30, 2005 5:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It may also be useful to include this from The Lancet (in 1973! ... the year of Limits To Growth I believe - any connection?):

"The medical profession must eventually be forced to consider whether in an age of fuel scarcity it will be possible to maintain at their present level hospital procedures consuming large quantities of energy".


And just to stand in front of, say the Sussex County Hospital here in Brighton, is to wonder how it would all keep going with a reduced energy supply - like most major hospitals, it's enormous.
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